The following writing is an adaptation from a segment of a book titled: Unscripted by MJ DeMarco.
Let’s do an experiment; let’s test your luck.
In order to diffuse the myth that people who have achieved success are simply “lucky”, try this experiment:
Grab a coin and call a coin toss. You toss the coin up in the air and it lands… on tails. Did you call it correctly? (be honest) If so, think about your accurate prediction. Would you now label yourself as “lucky”? And if not, would you label yourself as “un-lucky”?
Probably not. You know the probability; you had a 50/50 chance of winning or losing.
Now let’s say that a correct call would win you $10k! Suddenly the outcome might be considered luck simply because the attached outcome is significant. And yet the odds… the mathematics never changed. What did change?
This is the essence of probability. When life’s chaos diffuses into outcomes, probability becomes clouded until superstitious explanations become ‘likely’.
Now let’s say you have 10 chances to call one coin flip correctly to win the $10k. Would you keep flipping? Or stop and reason, “mehh.. I’m just not lucky”.
Moving probability is about TRYING.
The likelihood of winning a coin toss is 50%. But 10 flips of the coin to win only once moves the probability of winning to 99.4%.
That means that just because no one shared or commented on your amazing blog article that you wrote doesn’t mean the game is over. Or just because you spent $2k on Facebook ads and have seen no ROI (yet) doesn’t mean you should stop.
KEEP FREAKING FLIPPING!
Believing the myth that ‘successful people are lucky’ cripples your own power. If you start believing it, you will create more excuses like, “why try? I’m unlucky anyway…”
When that happens, probability fails to be moved and you will fail to be lucky.